NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 1.80" which is four-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 57th driest first quarter of the water year on record. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. . By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. KNXV According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that. Multiple locations were found. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. One daily temperature record was set. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Well, until it's August. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? On your phone:Download the 12News app for the latest local breaking news straight to your phone. This is the 3rd straight January in which the monthly low temperature, recorded at the airport, was NOT colder than 30. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. the . Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. The forecast panned out well with Winter 2021-2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. Enter any city, zip or place. Feb March 2023 . A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. Toggle navigation. But when will it really start? The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. ajgarrison - Flickr This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. There were 23 days in which the daily low temperature was in the 80s. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. AccuWeather's winter forecast. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. 3. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. Click on the images below for larger view. All NOAA. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded just over a half an inch /0.53"/. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 9C and 19C, warm clothes are a must. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. Backed by the 5th warmest June and 7th warmest July and the warmest Summer average low temperature on record (tied with 2020), Summer 2022 goes into the record books asthe 3rd warmest Summer on record, tied with the Summers of 2013, 2015 & 2019. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. For more detailed information, click the link below. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). How to get these alerts with a premium subscription via e-mail by micro-climate zone AND/OR Get the GPS models for all events on your device enabled? Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. In a couple of words: its nice! As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert. Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. The full-year 2022 figures for these figures came to $2.33 and $2.11 per diluted share, for y/y gains of 16%.The funds from operations figures are important because they fund UDR's dividend. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. Thank you! Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Mostly cloudy. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. What is the average temperature in Arizona in January? The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Winter- It's Coming! This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Please Contact Us. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. As always, stay tuned toArizona Weather Forcefor official forecasts and updates on weather across Arizona and if it says like page below, hit the button and get future updates. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Questions? "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. (Weather station: Payson, USA). Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. Amounts ranged from 4" to 9" with localized higher amounts up to 14". Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. October climate data across southeast Arizona. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Apr. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. NWS The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. National Weather Service Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 0.75" to 2.50". The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. Two-thirds of climatological Fall is in the books and 2022 ranks as the 15th warmest & 56th driest on record with one month left to go. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall.